Plutonium Disposition Study Options Independent Assessment-Books Pdf

Plutonium Disposition Study Options Independent Assessment
03 Jun 2020 | 19 views | 0 downloads | 50 Pages | 1.52 MB

Share Pdf : Plutonium Disposition Study Options Independent Assessment

Download and Preview : Plutonium Disposition Study Options Independent Assessment


Report CopyRight/DMCA Form For : Plutonium Disposition Study Options Independent Assessment



Transcription

1 Charter 1,2 Executive Summary 2,3 Disposition Options Overview 5. 4 Assessment of the PWG 2014 Cost Estimate 7, 5 Assessment of Changes since Publication of the 2014 Report 10. 6 Identification and Quantification of Risks through Sensitivity Analysis 13. 6 1 Risk Identification and Quantification Process 13. 6 2 Cost Contingency Confidence Level 14, 6 3 Summary of Top Risk Drivers for the MOX Fuel Option 14. 6 4 Summary of Top Risk Drivers for the Downblend Option 18. 6 5 Opportunities 20,6 6 Cost Risk 20,7 Assessment of Cost Caps on Cost Profile 22. 8 Updated Cost Estimate 26,9 Qualitative Assessment Factors 28.
9 1 Factors for Option 1 MOX Fuel Fabrication 28,9 1 1 Lack of Utilities for MOX Fuel 28. 9 1 2 Utility Plant Licensing 28,9 1 3 Cybersecurity 29. 9 1 4 NRC Regulations 29,9 1 5 IAEA Monitoring 29,9 1 6 Acquisition Approach Issues 30. 9 1 7 Areva Financial Status 31,9 1 8 WSB Readiness and Lifecycle 31. 9 1 9 Utility Plant Modifications and Specific Fuel Qualification 32. 9 1 10 Environmental Activist Groups 32, 9 2 Factors for Option 4 Downblend and Disposal 33.
9 2 1 Availability of a Repository for Permanent Disposal of Downblended Material 33. 9 2 2 Modification of PMDA 33, 9 2 3 Security Basis Change Due to Quantity of Material to be Dispositioned 33. 9 2 4 IAEA Monitoring 34,9 2 5 State and Local Issues 34. 9 2 6 Environmental Activist Groups 34,10 Summary 35. Appendix A Bibliography 36,Appendix B Risk Tables 43. Appendix C Acronyms 46, Figure 1 Four step approach used to develop estimates 2.
Figure 2 MOX fuel program workflow 5,Figure 3 Downblend program workflow 6. Figure 4 Step 1 of four step approach assessment of 2014 PWG estimate 7. Figure 5 Step 2 of four step approach assessment of changes from 2014 PWG estimate 10. Figure 6 Program timelines with changes since the 2014 PWG estimate 11. Figure 7 Step 3 of four step approach assessment of additional cost risk with sensitivity. analysis 13, Figure 8 Cost risk sensitivity drivers option 1 MOX fuel 17. Figure 9 Cost risk sensitivity drivers option 4 downblend 19. Figure 10 Comparison of total lifecycle cost to go before application of cost caps to MFFF. construction 21, Figure 11 Step 4 of four step approach apply RY fixed cost cap 22. Figure 12 Cost profile option 1 MOX fuel 500M RY YR cap on MFFF construction 23. Figure 13 Cost profile option 1 MOX fuel 375M RY YR cap on MFFF construction 23. Figure 14 Option 1 MFFF construction cost to go FY14 compared to a series of constant. RY year cash flows 24,Figure 15 Cost profile option 4 downblend 25. Figure 16 Four step approach produces updated estimate of cost to go 26. Table 1 Summary Cost To Go Estimate for Options 1 and 4 3. Table 2 Updates to 2014 PWG Estimate for MOX Fuel Option 11. Table 3 Updates to 2014 PWG Estimate for Downblend Option 12. Table 4 Summary Cost To Go Estimate for Options 1 and 4 85 tile Confidence 26. Within its mission to reduce global danger from weapons of mass destruction the Defense Nuclear. Nonproliferation Program through the Office of Material Management and Minimization is responsible. for the implementation of the U S Russia Plutonium Management and Disposition Agreement PMDA. which commits both countries to dispose of at least 34 metric tons MT of weapon grade plutonium each. by irradiating it as mixed oxide MOX fuel or any other methods that may be agreed by the Parties in. Unanticipated cost increases for the MOX fuel approach prompted the Department of Energy National. Nuclear Security Administration DOE NNSA to assess plutonium disposition strategies in 2013 and. identify options for the out years The Secretary of Energy formed the Plutonium Disposition Working. Group PWG to critically examine costs of other potential options to complete the plutonium disposition. mission In April 2014 the working group released its findings in Report of the Plutonium Disposition. Working Group Analysis of Surplus Weapon Grade Plutonium Disposition Options This report. discussed five options for disposal including the current program of record. 1 Convert the Plutonium to MOX fuel for use in commercial reactors program of record. 2 Irradiation of plutonium in fast reactors,3 Immobilization with high level waste.
4 Downblend the plutonium with inert material and disposition in a geologic repository. 5 Deep borehole disposal, Congress directed DOE NNSA to task a Federally Funded Research and Development Center FFRDC. to conduct an independent review of the PWG report In December 2014 The Aerospace Corporation. Aerospace was approached by DOE NNSA to perform this review Aerospace was asked to assess and. validate the report s analysis and findings and independently verify lifecycle cost estimates for the. construction and operation of the MOX facility Option 1 and the option to downblend and dispose of the. material in a repository Option 4 Aerospace was asked to assess programmatic factors affecting cost. and schedule relating to areas of technical uncertainty and risk including areas of technical readiness and. the systems operations concept accreditation certification of new facilities and technologies to transition. or dispose of weapon grade plutonium and disposal execution processes and documentation compliance. with existing potential future environmental regulations and modifications to international agreements. oversight and governance agencies external to DOE which may affect certification facilities. construction regulations to support monitoring and issues regarding implementation of such selected. alternatives including regulatory and public acceptance issues and interactions with affected states. This report addresses the independent assessments of Option 1 and Option 4 The independent. assessments of Options 2 3 and 5 will be covered in a subsequent report to be submitted to NNSA. The Aerospace Corporation maintains capabilities in building architecture civil structural mechanical. and electrical engineering as applied to facilities concept development planning including cost. construction and operations Aerospace regularly performs technical and risk assessments of large scale. complex facilities developments for use for civil commercial and national security programs. 2 Executive Summary, Aerospace assembled a team of knowledgeable experts in facilities development cost and schedule. programmatic and technical risk assessment nuclear power industry experience and prior nuclear. weapons complex experience to review the NNSA plans and infrastructure associated with Option 1. MOX Fuel and Option 4 Downblend, The assessment approach for this study is illustrated in Figure 1 The assessment started by first. examining the 2014 PWG estimate The Aerospace team examined in detail through presentations and. discussions with NNSA and contractor personnel all elements of the PWG 2014 cost estimate. considering use of best practices and industry standard approaches to cost estimating including cost risk. Aerospace assessed the quality and completeness of the individual program element cost estimating. products for the defined scope of work at the time of the 2014 PWG Estimate relative to other program. experience in facilities development Aerospace reviewed data provided by the NNSA used in the grass. roots estimates analogy based estimates and prior independent cost assessments. Assessment of Assessment of Assessment of Apply RY Updated. 2014 PWG Changes From Additional Cost Fixed Estimate. Estimate 2014 PWG Risk w Sensitivity Cost Cap Cost to Go. Estimate Analysis FY14 Forward, Figure 1 Four step approach used to develop estimates. Next Aerospace made an assessment of changes that have occurred since the 2014 PWG estimate was. completed in 2013 This included examination of missing cost elements changes in work scope and. updates to the project element estimates since the time of the 2014 PWG estimate Cost increases due to. known delays in the program and the associated cost escalation due to inflation in the out years were also. estimated These changes were then added to the original 2014 PWG estimate to create a new baseline. from which to assess programmatic risk, In the third step of the assessment process Aerospace performed a cost risk assessment of the work scope.
associated with options 1 and 4 including the changes noted above Risks were identified for both the. capital and construction projects associated with the Mixed Oxide Fuel Fabrication Facility MFFF or. downblending facility and other key program elements such as the MOX Fuel Irradiation Feedstock. and Transportation Program MIFT Cost risk drivers were identified in terms of likelihood range of. potential consequence cost impact and the time frame relative to the program lifecycle when the risk. could be realized Aerospace performed a probabilistic cost risk sensitivity analysis to assess the potential. impact to the life cycle cost to go and developed an estimate of the program cost contingency going. forward at the 85th percentile confidence level, In the final step of the assessment process Aerospace applied fixed real year cost caps to capital and. construction elements of the program in order to assess impacts of a constrained budget on the program. timeline Two scenarios were assessed the 2014 PWG estimate which used 500M RY year and an. estimate of the minimum cost cap needed to complete the program Application of the cost caps resulted. in delays to the completion of construction and operations and resulting cost escalation relative to the. 2014 PWG estimate, Aerospace also conducted a qualitative assessment of other relevant factors that discriminate between. options These factors include accreditation certification of new facilities and technologies to transition or. dispose of weapons grade Pu and disposal execution processes and documentation compliance with. existing and potential future environmental regulations and modifications to international agreements. oversight governance agencies external to DOE which may affect certification facilities construction. regulations to support monitoring and regulatory and public acceptance issues regarding implementation. of such selected alternatives including interactions with affected States. Table 1 summarizes the results of the cost assessment For the MOX Fuel Option the 2014 PWG report. estimate cost to go is 25 1B RY 18 6B FY14 Adding known changes to the program since the time. of the estimate which include the costs of program delays results in 30 7 B 21 3B FY14 cost to go. Additional cost contingency determined through the risk sensitivity analysis and application of the. 500M RY year cost cap used in the 2014 PWG estimate increases the total lifecycle cost to go to 47 5B. RY 27 2B FY14 In a similar fashion for the Downblend Option the total lifecycle cost to go with. identified changes to the 2014 PWG estimate and risk sensitivity analysis is 17 2B RY 13 1B FY14. Table 1 includes costs for the capital and construction projects associated with options 1 and 4 and other. key program elements needed to complete the plutonium disposition mission such as MIFT MIFT cost. to go over the lifecycle of the program is 16 5B RY. Application of the cost cap results in increased time to compete MFFF construction and an increase in. cost to go in real year dollars This is due to additional costs for maintaining the Waste Solidification. Building WSB and program management and integration functions during the additional years required. to complete MFFF construction and escalation over the lifecycle of the program due to inflation. It was determined that the minimum cost cap on capital and construction to complete the MFFF. construction was approximately 375M RY year In FY14 the MFFF construction was funded at 350M. RY year The application of a 375M RY year cost cap increases the total lifecycle cost to go to 110 4B. RY 29 8B FY14, Table 1 Summary Cost To Go Estimate for Options 1 and 4. Plutonium Working Assessment of Assessment of Cost Risk Drivers Through. Group PWG 2014 Changes Since PWG Sensitivity Analysis. Report Estimate 2014 Report Estimate 85th Percentile Confidence. Cost to Go FY14,Changes Cost Risk Updated Estimate. 500M RY Yr Cap on 375M RY Yr Cap on,Construction Capital Construction Capital.
25 1B RY 30 7 B RY 47 5B RY 110 4B RY,Option 1 MOX. 18 6B FY14 21 3B FY14 27 2B FY14 29 8B FY14,10 3B RY 13 2 B RY 17 2B RY. 8 2B FY14 10 1 B FY14 13 1B FY14, Note that for the MOX Fuel Option costs for MFFF shutdown to a safe state at end of operations are. included in this assessment However this study did not assess MFFF decommissioning and demolition. D D and return to green field, Section 3 of this report provides an overview of Options 1 and 4 Section 4 describes the review of the. 2014 PWG estimate and associated findings Section 5 documents the assessment of the changes to the. program since the time of the 2014 PWG estimate and quantifies those in terms of cost Section 6. provides a discussion of the risk sensitivity analysis process identified risks and their cost impacts. Section 7 presents the effects on overall lifecycle cost to go as influenced by cost caps and includes cost. profiles for option 1 and 4 Section 8 provides the updated estimate of the cost to go Section 9 discusses. the qualitative assessment factors and Section 10 provides summary findings of the study. Plutonium Disposition Study Options Independent Assessment to conduct an independent review of the PWG report programmatic and technical risk assessment

Related Books

Ion Max and Ion Max S API Source Hardware Manual Version C

Ion Max and Ion Max S API Source Hardware Manual Version C

Qu mica El instrumento puede contener productos quimicos peligrosos Utilice guantes al manejar productos quimicos t xicos carcinogenos mutagenos o corrosivos irritantes Utilice recipientes y procedimientos aprobados para deshacerse del aceite usado Prodotti chimici Possibile presenza di sostanze chimiche pericolose nell apparecchio Indossare dei guanti per maneggiare prodotti

El icono de los qu micos la tabla peri dica de los elementos

El icono de los qu micos la tabla peri dica de los elementos

Inspecteur g n ral de premi re classe en l cole des Mines de Par s Entre sus trabajos cabe citar una clasificaci n de las rocas o el mapa geol gico de Haute Marne en el que siste matiza la informaci n contenida Quiz s fruto de este af n clasificatorio y sistematizador proviene su principal contribuci n a la qu mica el Vis Tellurique publicado en 1862 6 En el tornillo

Best Practices in Overset Grid Generation

Best Practices in Overset Grid Generation

Hyp erb olic surface grids w ere b eginning to be used for some of the comp onen ts It w as also imp ortan t 1 American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics to be able to duplicate the en tire pro cess quic kly for sligh tdesign c hanges This brough t ab out the dev elop men t of grid generation scripts where imp ortan grid attributes w ere parameterized Adv ances in v arious parts

2001 Chevrolet Venture

2001 Chevrolet Venture

Canada Limited for Chevrolet Motor Division whenever it appears in this manual Please keep this manual in your vehicle so it will be there if you ever need it when you re on the road If you sell the vehicle please leave this manual in it so the new owner can use it We support voluntary technician certification For Canadian Owners Who

2004 Chevrolet Venture Owner Manual M

2004 Chevrolet Venture Owner Manual M

Canada Limited for Chevrolet Motor Division whenever it appears in this manual Please keep this manual in your vehicle so it will be there if you ever need it when you re on the road If you sell the vehicle please leave this manual in it so the new owner can use it Litho in U S A Part No 10336276 A First Edition

Guide d entretiens l usage des candidats postulant dans

Guide d entretiens l usage des candidats postulant dans

fallait se pr parer ses entretiens comme de v ritables concours Qu est ce dire Savoir si ce type de m tier nous plait se renseigner sur les missions le cadre de travail Etre motiv be bullish Comprendre ce qu on attend de nous savoir quels sont les crit res de s lection R p ter de la m me fa on que nous avons pu travailler sur des annales il

Maria Clementina Pereira Cunha SciELO

Maria Clementina Pereira Cunha SciELO

conjectura das evid ncias paralelas do cruzamento de informa es da especula o controlada e amparada por uma s lida pesquisa que permita inserir os indiv duos em seu contex to explicando a um s tempo uns e outros No caso o relato do jurista Jean de Coras em seu Arrest Memo rable foi cotejado com uma ampla gama de fontes manejadas com ad mir vel habilidade Obras anterio res

Cr nicas do acaso e hist rias reais

Cr nicas do acaso e hist rias reais

Paralelas 103 Outro extremo 105 Gracias 107 Diario Coincidencias indd 6 02 09 16 12 45 7 Um extremo Uma noite durante o m s que passou no programa de escritores residentes no Ch teau de Lavigny ele se lembrou de umas hist rias que vivera e cujos pontos extremos o in cio e o fim eram conectados por uma estranha ou seria perfeita combinat ria de fatos Anotou a sinopse

actos desleales empleados cometidos a trav s de

actos desleales empleados cometidos a trav s de

creaci n de sociedades paralelas a partir de los datos informaciones y know how extra dos de los sistemas de la empresa El supuesto de creaci n de una firma paralela a la sombra de otra vali ndose de los activos inmateriales de sta entra dentro de los deli tos tipificados bajo el art culo 270 del C digo Penal1 En esta misma l nea el art culo 11 de la Ley de Competencia Desleal

Medio siglo junto al productor ebayacasal com ar

Medio siglo junto al productor ebayacasal com ar

Vidas paralelas Cambios de paradigmas Las semillas forrajeras de Bay Casal Las primeras sucursales Trenque Lauquen y Lamadrid Saladillo La innovaci n y el crecimiento Carmen de Areco Crisis y reconstrucci n El compromiso con el agricultor Nuestro servicio se refleja en su campo Crecimiento y consolidaci n Pieres y Quequ n Las unidades de negocio de Bay Casal Las nuevas